Bayes4fix

Use rpsrunner.py to play unranked matches on your computer.

Source code:

import random
import math

def action(kappa):
  p = [random.gammavariate(x+1,1) for x in kappa]
  e = [p[(i+2)%3] - p[(i+1)%3] for i in xrange(3)]
  for i in xrange(3):
    if e[i] < e[(i+1)%3] == e[(i+2)%3]:
      return random.choice([(i+1)%3,(i+2)%3])
    if e[i] <= e[(i+1)%3] < e[(i+2)%3]:
      return (i+2)%3
  return random.choice([0,1,2])

if input == '':
  hands = 'RPS'
  rhands = { 'R': 0, 'P': 1, 'S': 2 }
  hist = []
  stat = [[0,0,0] for i in xrange(3**6)]
  s = -1
  m = random.choice([0,1,2])
else:
  o = rhands[input]
  if s < 0:
    if s == -1:
      s = -1000 - (3 * m + o)
    elif s > -2000:
      s = -2000 - (-(s + 1000) * 9 + 3 * m + o)
    else:
      s = (-(s + 2000) * 9 + 3 * m + o)
    m = random.choice([0,1,2])
  else:
    hist.append((s, o))
    stat[s][o] += 1
    s = 9 * (s % 81) + 3 * m + o
    m = action(stat[s])
output = hands[m]